Author: Cornelio Ash

Cornelio Ash is a senior equity analyst and member of the U.S. Focus List and the Global Focus List Committees, which approves all equity recommendations for developed, emerging, and frontier markets. He is also a lead for the Technology sector and specializes in the Americas region. Cornelio joined the firm in 2005 and received his B.A. in Finance from California State University, Northridge. He holds a Series 65 securities license.

Global Laggards

Posted on by Cornelio Ash

Highlighted Charts

 

U.S.: Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM), Rollins Inc (ROL), Donaldson Co (DCI), Aptargroup Inc (ATR), Xpel (XPEL), SONOS Inc. (SONO), Boyd Gaming Corp (BYD), MGM Resorts (MGM), Monster Beverages (MNST), U G I Corp Holding (UGI), Discover Financial Services (DFS), Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI), Capital One Financial (COF), Guardant Health (GH), Carvana (CVNA), Urban Outfitters (URBN), Abercrombie (ANF), Cognex Corp (CGNX), II-VI Incorporated (IIVI), Match Group (MTCH), Cable One (CABO), Sea Ltd Ads (SE), Blackline Inc (BL), Fortinet Inc (FTNT), Alaska Air Group (ALK), P V H Corp (PVH), Cirrus Logic Inc (CRUS).

 

Developed: Sumitomo Chemical (SC@N.JP; 4005 JP), Mondi (MNDI.GB; MNDI LN), Royal Unibrew (RBR.DK; RBREW DC), Anheuser – Busch Inbev (ABI.BE; ABI BB), Iwatani (JE@N.JP; 8088 JP), Bendigo & Adelaide Bank (BEN.AU; BEN AU), Seven Bank (SEVN.JP; 8410 JP), Gerresheimer (GXIX.DE; GXI GR), Skylark (LARK.JP; 3197 JP), Ericsson B (SL@G.SE; ERICB SS), Deutsche Telekom (DTEX.DE; DTE GR), Cargojet (CJT.CA; CJT CN).

Global Laggards

Posted on by Cornelio Ash

Highlighted Charts

 

U.S.: Allegheny Technologies (ATI), Boeing (BA), Acronic Corp (ARNC), SONOS (SONO), Freshpet (FRPT), Patterson-Uti Energy (PTEN), Mastercard (MA), Jazz Pharmaceuticals (JAZZ), Carvana (CVNA), Cognex (CGNX), Skyworks Solutions (SWKS), Charter Communications (CHTR), Take-Two Interactive Solutions (TTWO), Godaddy (GDDY), Checkpoint Software Tech (CHKP), Yelp Inc (YELP), Baidu Inc (BIDU), Southwest Airlines (LUV).

 

Developed: Jfe Holdings (JFEH.JP; 5411 JP), Mondi (MNDI.GB; MNDI LN), Accor (AC.FR; AC:FP), Royal Unibrew (RBR.DK; RBREW DC), Dcc (DCC.GB; DCC LN), Mizuho Financial Group (MIZH.JP; 8411 JP), Gerresheimer (GXIX.DE; GXI GR), Canadian Tire (CTC/A.CA; CTC/A CN), Parkland (PKI.CA; PKI CN), Brother Industries (BI@N.JP; 6448 JP), Kuehne Und Nagel International (KNIN.CH; KNIN SW).

ServiceNow

Posted on by Cornelio Ash

Key points from this report:

 

  • The stock is breaking out of a six-week flat base on above average volume. Buy.
  • Strong Q3 FY21 print. Beat across all metrics. ServiceNow reported better-than-expected Q3 FY21 results, including adjusted EPS of $1.55 (+28% y/y), well above expectations of $1.39, and revenue of $1.51B (+31% y/y), including subscription revenue of $1.43B (94% of total, +31% y/y), both above expectations of $1.48B and $1.41B, respectively.
  • Growth across large deals remain robust. As of Q3, ServiceNow’s total number of deals with annual contract value (ACV) greater than $1M stands at 1,266 (+25% y/y; +5% q/q).

Global Laggards

Posted on by Cornelio Ash

Highlighted Charts

 

U.S.: International Paper (IP), Allegion (ALLE), Twitter Inc (TWTR), Dana Incorporated (DAN), Iheartmedia Inc (IHRT), Lennox International (LII), Post (POST), Core Laboratories Nv (CLB), Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI), Globe Life Inc (GL), Quidel Corp (QDEL), Casey General Store (CASY), T D Synnex (SNX), Lithia Motors (LAD), Amkor Technology (AMKR), Verint Systems (VRNT), WIX.com (WIX), Jetblue Airways Corp (JBLU).

 

Developed: Newcrest Mining (NCM.AU; NCM AU), Giken (GIKE.JP; 6289 JP), Vifor Pharma (VIFN.CH; VIFN SW), Abc-Mart (ITCP.JP; 2670 JP), Deutsche Telekom (DTEX.DE; DTE GR), Nippon Express (NX@N.JP; 9062 JP).

 

Emerging: Hyundai Steel (INI.KR; 004020 KS), HDC (HD1.KR; 294870 KS), Arezzo (ARZ.BR; ARZZ3 BZ), Hindustan Unilever (HDL.IN; HUVR IN), Samsung Life Insurance (SFC.KR; 032830 KS), Rumo (P3M.BR; RAIL3 BZ).

Dassault

Posted on by Cornelio Ash

Key points from this report:

 

  • The stock regained its 50-DMA within a short six-week base consolidation after reporting positive Q3 results. Add to positions here.
  • Impressive Q3: Dassault reported adjusted EPS of €0.22 (+37% y/y) and revenue of €1,158.8M (+12% y/y), both above estimates of €0.19 and €1,141.6M, respectively. Organic revenue grew 12% y/y to €3,160M.
  • Adjusted operating income increased 35% y/y to €392.1M, above estimates of €347.5M, on margin expansion of 560bps y/y to 33.8%.
  • Medidata acquisition paying off: Dassault’s Life Sciences vertical now contributes 22% of total revenue, up from 4% two years ago.
  • Dassault estimates its total market opportunity to be $41B, up from $28B a few years ago. The company is the market leader in two of the three key sectors in which it operates: Manufacturing (TAM: $24B, market share: 29%) and Life Sciences ($8B; 11%).

Microsoft

Posted on by Cornelio Ash

Key points from this report:

 

  • The stock is breaking out from an eight-week flat base after reporting strong Q1 FY22 results. Buy.
  • Strong Q1 FY22. Reported adjusted EPS of $2.27 (+25% y/y), above estimates of $2.07, and revenue of $45.3B (+22% y/y), above estimates of $43.9B. Microsoft Cloud—formerly Commercial Cloud and includes Azure, Commercial Office 365, Dynamics 365 and LinkedIn Commercial—jumped 36% y/y to $20.7B. Operating income increased to $20.2B (+27% y/y), above estimates of $18.5B, and operating margin expanded 227bps to 45%.
  • Azure up 50% y/y. Growth exceeded Google Cloud (45% y/y) this quarter and is higher than AWS’s expectations (32%), indicating stronger adoption and increasing market share.
  • Margins will continue to expand given upcoming price increase on SaaS products. In August, Microsoft announced its first price increase for its Office 365 and Microsoft 365 services in a decade. The price increases will affect commercial and business users of Microsoft’s SaaS offerings next year, with no changes to pricing for education or consumers.