Cryptocurrency Outlook

Key points:

  • 2022 was a challenging year for cryptocurrency. As Bitcoin collapsed, companies that used leverage or borrowed to trade met with bankruptcies, which had domino effects to major exchanges like FTX and Gemini just recently.
  • The rapid rise of interest rates was one of the major causes for the crypto downturn. But now that the interest rate cycle may be peaking, we see a potential scenario for cryptocurrency’s recovery this year. In addition, institutional participation in holding major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum continues to legitimize the asset class.
  • Technically both Bitcoin and Ethereum are in a Confirmed Uptrend since mid-January. Bitcoin has found some support around the long-term 300-WMA and Ethereum has broken above the 200-WMA.
  • For those investors that cannot invest in Bitcoin or Ethereum directly, we recommend holding Microstrategy (MSTR), Block (SQ) and Nvidia (NVDAFocus List Rated).

O’Neil Global Cryptocurrency Weekly

Filecoin – $1.07B market cap (ranked #34 by market cap)

Filecoin is a decentralized storage system aiming to “store humanity’s most important information.” It was coined by Protocol Labs and builds on top of the InterPlanetary File System, which allows users to rent unused hard drive space. It primarily aims to store data in a decentralized manner. It leverages its decentralized nature to protect the integrity of data’s location, which paves way for easy retrieval and makes it hard to censor. Like other decentralized storage systems, Filecoin allows people to be the custodians of their own data.

O’Neil Global Cryptocurrency Weekly

The Graph, an indexing protocol for querying data for networks like Ethereum, POA, and IPFS, powers many applications in both DeFi and the broader Web3 ecosystem. Anyone can build and publish open APIs, called subgraphs, that applications can query using GraphQL to retrieve blockchain data. There is a hosted service in production that will make it easy for developers to start building on The Graph and the decentralized network will be launched later this year.

O’Neil Financial Sector Weekly

Bank Rakayat Indonesia (BRI.ID) – $47B market cap – is one of the largest banks in Indonesia and Southeast Asia that
focuses on micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSME) and is a pioneer of microfinance in Indonesia. The bank maintains
one of the best loan growth and margin figures in the industry