Won Europe Today

Yesterday,

  • European markets closed higher, as strong earnings from GSK and Novo Nordisk boosted Health Care stocks, offsetting weakness in Automaker stocks. Meanwhile, investors are closely monitoring the European central bank’s neutral rate estimate, set for release on Friday, which could provide key insights into future monetary policy and its impact on inflation and employment.
  • Among key movers on the Stoxx 600, shares of Novo Nordisk (NON.DK; NOVOB:DC) rose 4.5% after the company reported profit of $4.4Bin Q4 FY24, driven by Wegovy sales more than doubling. Shares of GSK (GSK.GB; GSK:LN) jumped 7.6% on strong earnings and a $2.5B buyback, while shares of Vestas (VEW.DK; VWS:DC) surged 8.2% after the company announced a buyback and strong Q4 FY24 results.
  • The Stoxx 600 ended the session 0.5% higher. Immediate resistance is at its all-time high (+0.2%). We recommend a selective approach to adding names on a high-volume breakout or decisive retake of their key moving averages.
  • Most sectors closed in positive territory, with Health Care (+210 bps), Telecommunications (+119bps), and Oil & Gas (+62bps) leading the gains. Automobiles & Parts (-126bps) and Food & Beverage (-85bps) were the top losers.
  • Among major indices, France’s CAC 40 closed 0.2% lower. It is now testing resistance at its 10-DMA and has support at its 21-DMA (-2%). Germany’s DAX 30 gained 0.4%, reclaiming its 10-DMA. Resistance is at its recent high (+0.8%). The U.K.’s FTSE 100 gained 0.6%, bouncing off its 10-DMA, with immediate resistance at its recent high (+0.6%).
  • Eleven of the 16 markets we track closed in the green. Twelve are in a Confirmed Uptrend, one in an Uptrend Under Pressure, and three are in a Rally Attempt.
  • Norway recorded its fourth distribution day, while Sweden recorded its third. The average distribution day count stood at 2.42.
  • Of the 31 European Focus List names, 30 ideas are trading above their 200-DMA, while26 ideas are trading above their 50-DMA.
  • We added Lonza Group (LONN.CH; LONN:SW) to our European Focus List after the stock broke out of a stage-one 25-week flat base on good volume.
  • Actionable names in the Focus List include Lonza Group (LONN.CH; LONN:SW), 3i Group (III.GB; III:LN), Games Workshop (GAW.GB; GAW:LN), Adyen (ADYE.NL; ADYEN:NA), Technogym (TGYM.IT; TGYM:IM), Adidas (Xet) (ADSX.DE; ADS:GR), Hugo Boss (BOSSX.DE; BOSS:GR), and Rolls-Royce Holdings (RR.GB; RR/:LN).

Won Global View

The U.S. market remains in an Uptrend Under Pressure. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq gained 39bps and 19bps on higher d/d volume,
respectively. Indices are consolidating 1–2% below all-time highs, with support at their 50-DMA (5,997, 19,579). The distribution day count
declined to five on the S&P 500 and six on the Nasdaq, with one expiring on each index today after market close.

Won Europe Today

Yesterday,

  • European markets closed higher as the U.S. delayed tariffs on Canada and Mexico, raising hopes that Europe could also avoid trade duties. Meanwhile, China imposed retaliatory tariffs of up to 15% on select U.S. imports, adding to global trade tensions.
  • Among key movers on the Stoxx 600, shares of Ferrari (RACE.IT; RACE:IM) jumped 8% after the company forecasted at least 5% y/y revenue and core earnings growth for 2025. Shares of Infineon (IFXX.DE; IFX:GR) surged 10.4% after the company reported better-than-expected Q1 FY25 revenue and slightly raised its full-year outlook.
  • The Stoxx 600 ended the session 0.2% higher, with immediate resistance at its all-time high (+0.6%). We recommend a selective approach to adding names on a high-volume breakout or decisive retake of their key moving averages.
  • The overall sector performance was mixed. Automobile & Parts (+217bps), Technology (+174bps), and Banks (+120bps) were the top gainers, while Financial Services (-124bps) and Telecommunications (-100bps) were the top losers.
  • Among major indices, France’s CAC 40 jumped 0.7% and was testing support at its 10-DMA. Immediate resistance is at its recent high (+0.6%). Germany’s DAX 30 was also testing support at its 10-DMA, following a 0.4% rise. Immediate resistance is at its recent high (+0.9%). The U.K.’s FTSE 100 closed 0.1% lower and now sits at its 10-DMA. Next support is at its 21-DMA (-1.4%).
  • Eleven of the 16 markets we track closed in the green. Twelve are in a Confirmed Uptrend, one in an Uptrend Under Pressure, and three in a Rally Attempt.
  • Switzerland recorded its first distribution day. The average distribution day count stood at 2.25.
  • Of the 30 European Focus List names, 29 ideas are trading above their 200-DMA, while23 ideas are trading above their 50-DMA.
  • Actionable names in the Focus List include 3i Group (III.GB; III:LN), Games Workshop (GAW.GB; GAW:LN), Adyen (ADYE.NL; ADYEN:NA), Safran (SGM.FR; SAF:FP), Technogym (TGYM.IT; TGYM:IM), Adidas (Xet) (ADSX.DE; ADS:GR), and Hugo Boss (BOSSX.DE; BOSS:GR).

Won Global View

The U.S. market remains in an Uptrend Under Pressure. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq advanced 72bps and 135bps, respectively,
recovering from the prior day. Indices are consolidating 1–3% below all-time highs, with support at their 50-DMA (5,995, 19,564). The
distribution day count declined to six on the S&P 500 and seven on the Nasdaq, with one expiring on each index today after market close.

Won Europe Today

We released our European Weekly Summary yesterday. Click here to access the report. Key points from it include:

  • European indices remained strong last week, with Germany, the U.K., Sweden, Spain, Switzerland, and Norway hitting all-time highs, while Austria reached a 52-week high. Other major indices traded slightly below their highs, except Denmark, which lagged 30%.
  • On the rotation graph, sector performance was mixed, with Energy, Basic Material, and Consumer Cyclical gaining momentum, while Retail, Consumer Staple, Transportation, and Utility weakened. Health Care and Technology showed signs of recovery, while Financial and Capital Equipment stalled.

Won Global View

The U.S. market remains in an Uptrend Under Pressure. The S&P 500 declined 76bps, while the Nasdaq closed 120bps lower on
higher d/d volume, recording a distribution day. Indices saw an upside reversal yesterday and are consolidating 2–4% below all-time highs,
with the S&P 500 holding support at its 50-DMA (5,992) and the Nasdaq at its 100-DMA (18,927). The distribution day count increased to
seven and eight on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, respectively, with one expiring on each index today after market close.

Won Europe Today

On Friday,

  • European markets ended the week at record highs, driven by a tech stock rally. The Stoxx 600 surged more than 6% in January, outperforming the S&P 500’s 3% gain. However, investor concerns persist over U.S. tariff threats on the EU and the market disruption caused by Chinese AI firm DeepSeek’s cheaper models.
  • Among key movers on the Stoxx 600, shares of Hexagon (EKBF.SE; HEXAB:SS) jumped 8.9% after the company reported a 3% y/y rise in Q4 FY24 operating profit, driven by slight organic growth despite challenges in the automotive and construction markets. Shares of Novartis (NOVN.CH; NOVN:SW) gained 1.9% on better-than-expected adjusted net income in Q4 FY24.
  • The Stoxx 600 ended the session 0.1% higher, making a new all-time high. Support is at its rising 10-DMA (-1.6%). We recommend a selective approach to adding names on a high-volume breakout or decisive retake of their key moving averages.
  • The overall sector performance was mixed. Technology (+147bps), Retail (+49bps), and Oil & Gas (+42bps) were the top gainers, while Chemicals (-71bps) and Food & Beverages (-70bps) led the decline.
  • Among major indices, France’s CAC 40 jumped 0.1% and continued to trade above all its key moving averages. Immediate resistance is at its June 2024 high (+0.6%). Germany’s DAX 30 closed flat at its all-time high, with support at its 10-DMA (-1.6%). The U.K.’s FTSE 100 extended its upward momentum and surged 0.3%, making a new 52-week high.
  • Nine of the 16 markets we track closed in the green. Twelve are in a Confirmed Uptrend, one in an Uptrend Under Pressure, and three in a Rally Attempt.
  • Ireland and Norway recorded their first distribution day. The average distribution day count stand at two.
  • Of the 30 European Focus List names, 29 ideas are trading above their 200-DMA, while 27 ideas are trading above their 50-DMA.
  • Actionable names in the Focus List include 3i Group (III.GB; III:LN), Games Workshop (GAW.GB; GAW:LN), Adyen (ADYE.NL; ADYEN:NA), Safran (SGM.FR; SAF:FP), Technogym (TGYM.IT; TGYM:IM), Adidas (Xet) (ADSX.DE; ADS:GR), Rolls Royce Holdings (RR.GB; RR/:LN), and Hugo Boss (BOSSX.DE; BOSS:GR).

Won Global View

The U.S. market remains in an Uptrend Under Pressure. On Friday, The S&P 500 and Nasdaq declined 50bps and 28bps, respectively,
on above average volume and recorded a distribution day each. Indices are consolidating 1–3% below all-time highs but above support at
their respective 50-DMA (5,990, 19,539). The distribution day count increased to seven on each index, with three expiring this week.

Won Europe Today

We released our Weekly Global Laggards Report today. Click here to access the full report. The stocks highlighted in this report are laggards relative to their own domestic markets. We recommend that they be underweighted as they may be vulnerable to further downside risk and underperformance. European stocks include Auto Trader Group (AUTO.GB; AUTO:LN) and Shaftesbury Capital (SHC.GB; SHC:LN).

Won Global View

The U.S. market remains in an Uptrend Under Pressure. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq were up 53bps and 25bps, respectively,
on higher d/d volume. Immediate support is at their rising 21-DMA (6,005; 19,619), followed by their 50-DMA (5,987; 19,520). The
distribution day count remains at six on each index, with three expiring next week.