Won Europe Today

Yesterday,

  • European markets extended their rally for a second session, driven by gains in technology stocks following strong earnings from chip equipment maker ASML (ASML.NL; ASML:NA). The results reassured investors about the resilience of AI chip demand, easing concerns from an earlier sell-off sparked by China’s DeepSeek unveiling a lower-power AI model.
  • The Federal Reserve kept its overnight borrowing rate steady at 4.25–4.5%, in line with market expectations. Wall Street stocks dipped following the announcement. Investors now await the European central bank’s upcoming interest rate decision.
  • Among significant movers on the Stoxx 600, shares of ASML (ASML.NL; ASML:NA) were up 5.5% following stronger-than-expected Q4 results. Shares of the Swedish truck maker Volvo B (VOBF.SE; VOLVB:SS) were up 7.7% after the company reported better-than-expected results for Q4 FY24.
  • The Stoxx 600 recoded its biggest one-day gain in a week, closing 0.5% higher. The index was trading at its fresh 52-week high. We recommend a selective approach to adding names on a high-volume breakout or decisive retake of their key moving averages.
  • Most sectors closed in positive territory, with Technology (+240bps) and Telecommunications (+174bps) leading the gains. Food and Beverage (-73bps) and Chemicals (-44bps) were the sole laggards.
  • Among major indices, France’s CAC 40 closed lower for a third straight session, inching closer to support at its 10-DMA (-0.6%). Germany’s DAX 30 closed almost 1% higher, making new highs. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 closed 0.3% higher on higher volume, trading above all its key moving averages.
  • Twelve of the 16 indices we track closed in the green. Twelve are in a Confirmed Uptrend, one in an Uptrend Under Pressure, and three in a Rally Attempt. The average distribution day count stood at 2.1.
  • Of the 30 European Focus List names, 29 ideas are trading above their 200-DMA, while 25 ideas are trading above their 50-DMA.
    • Games Workshop (GAW.GB; GAW:LN) was added to the European Markets Focus List as the stock is actionable after breaking out of a stage-two seven-week cup base.
  • Actionable names in the Focus List include 3i Group (III.GB; III:LN), Games Workshop (GAW.GB; GAW:LN), Adyen (ADYE.NL; ADYEN:NA), Safran (SGM.FR; SAF:FP), Technogym (TGYM.IT; TGYM:IM), and Hugo Boss (BOSSX.DE; BOSS:GR).

Won Global View

The U.S. market remains in an Uptrend Under Pressure. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq were down 47bps and 51bps, respectively,
on lower d/d volume. The S&P 500 is trading above its 10-DMA (6,028), while the Nasdaq is trading just below its 10-DMA (19,660).
Immediate support for both indices is at their rising 21-DMA (5,999; 19,612), followed by their 50-DMA (5,984; 19,509). The distribution
day count remains at six on each index.

Won Europe Today

Yesterday,

  • European markets traded higher, amid a global sell-off triggered by concerns over a potential AI breakthrough in China that could disrupt Western firms. Retail stocks led the gains despite continued pressure on the tech sector. Meanwhile, investors areweighing in a potential 25bps rate cut ahead of the European central bank’s policy decision later this week.
  • Among significant movers on the Stoxx 600, shares of the German equipment manufacturer Sartorius (SRT3X.DE; SRT3:GR) were up 11.5% after the company reported better-than-expected Q4 FY24 earnings and strong bioprocessing solutions order growth.
  • The Stoxx 600 closed 0.3% higher and is trading at a new 52-week high. It is extended from its key support levels. We recommend a selective approach to adding names on a high-volume breakout or decisive retake of their key moving averages.
  • Most sectors closed in positive territory, with Retail (+216bps) and Travel and Leisure (+186bps) leading the gains. Mining (-87bps) and Automobile (-19bps) were the sole outliers.
  • Among major indices, France’s CAC 40 extended its losses for a second straight session, closing 0.1% lower. Support is at its 10-DMA (-1.5%).Germany’s DAX 30 advanced 0.7% and is back at its 52-week high, trading above all its key moving averages. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 found strong support at its 10-DMA and closed 0.3% higher.
  • Ireland, Switzerland, and Spain were shifted to a Confirmed Uptrend from a Rally Attempt as the indices reclaimed their previous rally highs.
  • Sweden recorded its first distribution day.
  • Eleven of the 16 indices we track closed in the green. Twelve are in a Confirmed Uptrend, one in an Uptrend Under Pressure, and three are in a Rally Attempt. The average distribution day count stood at 2.1.
  • Of the 29 European Focus List names, 28 ideas are trading above their 200-DMA, while 24 ideas are trading above their 50-DMA.

Won Global View

The U.S. market remains in an Uptrend Under Pressure. Indices posted strong gains yesterday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq gaining
92bps and 203bps, respectively. Both indices are back above their short-term moving averages. Support is near their 21-DMA (5,995,
19,610), followed by their rising 50-DMA (5,983, 19,501). The distribution day count remains at six on each index.

Won Global View

The U.S. market has been shifted to an Uptrend Under Pressure. The S&P 500 declined 146bps on higher volume and breached
support at its 10-DMA, with the next level of support at its 21- and 50-DMA (~5,982; -0.5%). The Nasdaq was down more than 300bps on
higher volume and has breached its 21- and 50-DMA support. It has the next level of support at the rising 100-DMA (18,795; -2.9%).
Indices added one distribution day each yesterday. The distribution day count remains at six on each index, after one expired on each
yesterday after market close.

Won Europe Today

We released our European Weekly Summary yesterday. Click here to access the report. Key points from it include:

  • European markets broke into new highs last week after advancing more than 1%, owing to a positive sentiment following Trump’s speech about reduction of global interest rates, banking regulations, and lower oil prices.
  • The Stoxx 600 was upgraded to a Confirmed Uptrend this week as it reclaimed its prior rally high. Among sectors, Financial Services and Banking are trading near new highs, while Travel and Leisure has bounced off its 100-DMA and reclaimed its key moving averages.

Won Europe Today

On Friday,

  • European markets ended the week with mixed sentiment despite an overall positive global stock rally. The Stoxx 600 closed flat for the day, recording a weekly gain of more than 1%, driven by strong earnings and optimism about U.S. economic growth following the new administration’s inauguration. Eurozone’s inflation in December slightly exceeded the European central bank’s target, leaving room for potential interest rate cuts in the future.
  • Among significant movers on the Stoxx 600, shares of Burberry Group (BRBY.GB; BRBY:LN) jumped almost 10% after the company reported a smaller-than-expected sales decline in Q3 FY25.On the flip side, shares of Swedish telecommunication equipment maker Ericsson (ERAF.SE; ERICA:SS) plunged more than 13% after the company missed both top- and bottom-line estimates for Q4 FY24.
  • The Stoxx 600 traded at a fresh 52-week high, above all its key moving averages, after having gained almost 1.3% through the previous week. We recommend a selective approach to adding names on a high-volume breakout or decisive retake of their key moving averages.
  • Among sectors, Mining (+131bps) and Automobiles (+125bps) led the gains, while Telecommunications (-297bps) and Energy (-104bps) lagged the most.
  • Among major indices, France’s CAC 40 gained for the ninth consecutive session, closing 0.4% higher, and was trading at a five-month high. Near-term resistance is expected at its June 2024 high. Germany’s DAX 30 was down 0.1%. However, it remains extended from its near-term support levels. The index was trading at new 52-week highs. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 closed 0.7% lower, trading above all its key moving averages. Near-term support is at its 10-DMA (-0.8%).
  • Norway recorded its second distribution day.
  • Eight of the 16 indices we track closed in the green. Nine are in a Confirmed Uptrend, one in an Uptrend Under Pressure, and six in a Rally Attempt. The average distribution day count stood at 2.5.
  • Of the 33 European Focus List names, 32 ideas are trading above their 200-DMA, while 27 ideas are trading above their 50-DMA.
    • Hugo Boss (BOSSX.DE; BOSS:GR) was added to the European Markets Focus List after the stock broke above the pivot of a stage-one cup base again following strong earnings print from Burberry-led U.S. holiday shopping.
  • Actionable names in the Focus List include Adidas (ADSX.DE; ADS:GR), Rolls Royce Holdings (RR.GB; RR/:LN), 3i Group (III.GB; III:LN), Prysmian (PRY.IT; PRY:IM), Adyen (ADYE.NL; ADYEN:NA), Safran (SGM.FR; SAF:FP), Technogym (TGYM.IT; TGYM:IM), and Hugo Boss (BOSSX.DE; BOSS:GR).

Won Global View

The U.S. market remains in a Confirmed Uptrend. The S&P 500 was up 53bps and closed at a new all-time high, while the Nasdaq was
up 22bps and is trading 1% off highs. Immediate support for both indices is at the rising 10-DMA (5,999/19,667), 2% below current levels.
The distribution day count remains at six on each index, with one expiring on each today after market close.

Won Europe Today

Yesterday,

  • European markets closed higher, led by gains in Technology and Industrial sectors, as markets dismissed tariff concerns and drew support from the European Central Bank’s signals of imminent interest rate cuts and further easing. Investors now await key data, including France’s business confidence index and Eurozone consumer confidence figures, which could influence market sentiment.
  • Among key movers in the Stoxx 600, shares of Siemens Energy (ENRX.DE; ENR:GR) rose 6.5% on expectations of a significant boost from Donald Trump’s $500B private sector AI infrastructure plan, while Barry Callebaut (BARN.CH; BARN:SW) fell 8% after reporting weaker-than-expected Q1 FY25 sales volumes.
  • The Stoxx 600 gained 0.4%, continuing to trade above all key moving averages, and testing resistance at its September 2024 highs. We recommend a selective approach to adding names on a high-volume breakout or decisive retake of their key moving averages.
  • The overall sector performance was mixed. Technology (+132bps), Financial Services (+91bps), and Heath Care (+54bps) were the top gainers while Utility (-161bps) and Basic Resources (-75bps) were the top losers.
  • Among major indices, France’s CAC 40 extended the upward momentum and rose 0.9%, clearing the resistance of September 2024 highs. Next resistance is at June 2024 highs (+2%). Germany’s DAX 30 surged 1%, and is trading above all its key moving averages, making an all-time high. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 closed flat. It is at its 52-week highs, with support at its rising 10-DMA (-2%).
  • Eight of the 16 markets we track closed in the green. Eight are in a Confirmed Uptrend, one in an Uptrend Under Pressure, and seven in a Rally Attempt.
  • Italy recorded its third distribution day. The average distribution day count stood at 2.33.
  • We added WISE (WISE.GB; WISE:LN) to our European Focus List as the stock bounced back from its pivot of a stage-one 35-week cup base. We also added Prysmian (PRY.IT; PRY:IM) to our European Focus List as the stock broke out of a stage-one 12-week cup base.
  • Of the 32 European Focus List names, 31 ideas are trading above their 200-DMA, while 26 ideas are trading above their 50-DMA.
  • Actionable names in the Focus List include Rolls-Royce Holding (RR.GB; RR/:LN), 3i group (III.GB; III:LN), Prysmian (PRY.IT; PRY:IM), and Safran (SGM.FR; SAF:FP).