O’Neil Health Care Weekly

XLV gained 64bps last week holding support at its rising 21-DMA ($145.43). Resistance is at $147.16 before all-time highs of $148.27. Though Health Care is the third best performing sector behind Technology and Retail over the trailing 4-weeks, its RS line remains in a long-term downtrend, still warranting an equal-to-underweight sector positioning. We will be looking for the sector to break into new highs before recommending an overweight sector positioning.

Market View

The U.S. market remains in a Confirmed Uptrend. Indices remain near all-time highs with the first level of support at the rising 10-DMA (5,429/17,572), followed by the 21-DMA (5,373/17,242). The distribution day count stands at four on each index with one and two days set to expire on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, respectively, next week.

Market View

The U.S. market remains in a Confirmed Uptrend. This week, indices rallied, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq rising 1.6% and 3.2%, respectively. The first level of support is at the rising 10-DMA (5,365/17,268), followed by the 21-DMA (5,326/17,054). The distribution day count stands at three and four, respectively.

O’Neil Health Care Weekly

XLV gained 1.9% for the week and is now testing near-term resistance at $146.95 before all-time highs of $148.27. Near-term support is along the rising 21-DMA ($144.35). Though the sector is the 5th best performer over the trailing 4-weeks (+2%), its RS line has yet to make a higher high, remaining in a longer-term downtrend. We will be looking for the sector to break into new highs before recommending an overweight sector positioning.

Market View

The U.S. market remains in a Confirmed Uptrend. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are chopping around near all-time highs after
rallying ~1.3% and ~2.3%, respectively. The first level of support is at the rising 10-DMA (5,311/16,959), followed by the 21-DMA
(5,276/16,7687). The distribution day count stands at three and four, respectively.

O’Neil Health Care Weekly

XLV ended the week down 50bps, despite rallying 1.5% Friday to regain its 50-DMA ($142.78). This level will now act as near-term support with the range of resistance unchanged between $147 to $148.27 (all-time high). Its RS line (vs. the S&P 500 and Nasdaq) remains near lows, still warranting an underweight sector positioning.

Market View

The U.S. market remains in a Confirmed Uptrend. Indices closed lower this week, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq declining
0.5% and 1.1%, respectively. However, indices staged an upside reversal on Friday to close back above their 21-DMA (5,243/16592)
support after briefly trading below. Distribution days have clustered a bit with three and four, respectively over three weeks.

O’Neil Health Care Weekly

XLV declined 1.3% last week and is now sitting just above 21-DMA ($144) support with the next level at the rising 50-DMA ($143). The range of resistance is between $147 to $148.27 (all-time high). Its RS line (vs. the S&P 500 and Nasdaq) is near lows, still warranting an underweight sector positioning. XLV has now been underperforming the broader market for 18 straight months.

Market View

The U.S. market remains in a Confirmed Uptrend. The S&P 500 was flat for the week while the Nasdaq rallied ~1.3%
higher led by the technology sector. Both indices remain at or near all-time highs with the 10-DMA (5,276/16,690) as the first
level of support. The distribution day count stands at two on each index.