O’Neil Health Care Weekly

XLV declined 1.5% last week, consolidating strong 4-week gains just above 200-DMA ($130) support. The 50-DMA is
trading at $126.35. Resistance is $134.47. The relative strength line (vs. S&P 500) continues to rise, still warranting an
overweight sector positioning.

Market View

The U.S. market remains in an Uptrend Under Pressure. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq pulled back sharply from resistance at their 100-DMA (3,897) and 50-DMA (11,123) respectively. Indices are back below all key moving averages as the distribution day count has increased to four and two. The market status will be downgraded to a Downtrend should the S&P 500 close below the follow through day low (3,647) however price support is not until YTD lows at 3,491 and 10,088 respectively.

Market View

 

The U.S. market remains in a Confirmed Uptrend. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rallied for a second straight week, progressing instantly higher post the October 21 follow-through day (FTD). The S&P 500 closed above its 50-DMA (3,842), which will now act as initial near-term support, while the 100-DMA (3,903) is now the next level of logical resistance. The Nasdaq is still trading below both the early October high of 11,230 and the rolling 50-DMA (11,314), which will coincide to act as near-term resistance. The distribution day count stands at two, and one, respectively.

Market View

The U.S. market has been upgraded to a Confirmed Uptrend. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq staged a Day 7 follow-through today, each jumping over 2% in higher day/day volume. Both indices closed back above their respective 10- and 21-DMA, with the next level of resistance at October highs (S&P 500: 3,806; Nasdaq: 11,230) followed by the rolling 50-DMA (S&P 500: 3,887; Nasdaq: 11,517).

Market View

The U.S. market is in a Downtrend. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq found resistance near their respective 21-DMA (3,717)
and 10-DMA (10,646) after staging a strong upside reversal on Thursday. If indices hold above the low from October 13th
(S&P 500: 3,491, Nasdaq: 10,088) , the market status will shift to Rally Attempt after the close on Monday with a possible
follow-through day (+1.7% in higher d/d volume) as soon as Tuesday. Below YTD lows from October 13th , the next level
of price support is at 3,393 and 9,838 on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, respectively.

Market View

The U.S. market remains in a Rally Attempt. Despite Friday’s sharp gap lower, indices are still holding above last week’s lows (S&P 500: 3,584; Nasdaq: 10,572) keeping the attempted rally alive. A follow-through day (+1.7% in higher d/d volume) above these lows would still upgrade the market status to Confirmed Uptrend, while an undercut would kill the attempt. Near-term resistance is again the rolling 10-DMA (S&P 500: 3,720; Nasdaq: 10,967). The next level of support below year-to-date lows on the S&P 500 is 3,393, while the next level on the Nasdaq is 10,519, followed by 9,838.