The U.S. market has been downgraded to a Downtrend. The S&P 500 added four distribution days over five ses-
sions, resulting in its first break of the 50-DMA since November. Despite a snapback rally on Friday, the index
now faces multiple layers of resistance including its rolling 21-DMA (3,855). Near-term support is now ~3,700,
which may coincide with the rising 100-DMA. The support range below the 100-DMA is 3,500–3,600, the top of
the prior Q4 consolidation, which may coincide with the rising 200-DMA. The Nasdaq also broke its 50-DMA
this week in rising distribution. This index added back-to-back distribution days on Wednesday and Thursday,
resulting in a 10% decline off highs to near-term support at its 100-DMA (~12,600). Should this level break,
the next level is ~12,000, which may coincide with the rising 200-DMA.
