Strategy View Report

Offers the world’s leading institutional investment managers a distinct blend of quantitative, fundamental, and technical expertise in global stock buy-and-sell recommendations. Its core method profiles stocks displaying the characteristics of outperformance proven persistent over market history—drawn from the firm’s industryleading database.

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Strategy View Report

U.S. equities markets have continued to be strong as we move through the third quarter. All major indices are up year-to-date. Distribution days, as calculated under the O’Neil Methodology, continue to be low across most indices. Large capitalization stocks continue to lead with growth stocks being favored. The top two sectors remain Technology (+16.34% YTD) and Health Care (+15.44% YTD). Small capitalization stocks continue to lag as evidenced by the Russell 2000’s performance. Generally, U.S. small capitalization stocks have higher exposure to the domestic economy than their large capitalization counterparts. Continuing lackluster U.S. economic growth may be the source of small capitalization stock underperformance.

Strategy View Report

Included in the report is a study on historical seasonal patterns in relation to Q2 earnings season and sector performance. Some highlights from the report: From S&P 500 companies, analysts expect some deceleration in Q2 2017 revenue and EPS growth compared to Q1 2017. Average gains during Q2 earnings seasons have been fairly muted since 2000. The market has had a very long rally already (including fresh new highs this week) without a 5%+ correction. Leading long-term sectors, Technology and Health Care, expect better growth than the S&P 500, and we expect these two to continue to perform, which should help the market. Also, two other key sectors, Financials and Energy, expect among the best EPS growth.

Macro View

We are cautiously optimistic on the U.S. stock market. Year-to-date, stocks have performed well, with the S&P 500 (+8.9% intraday 6/23/17) the Nasdaq (+16.1% intraday 6/23/17) outperforming the Russell 2000 (+3.5% intraday 6/23/17).