O’Neil Financial Sector Weekly

XLF is testing its 100-DMA ($47.3; -1%) that has been a key level of support since November 2023, except for a few sessions in
August 2024 when it traded below the moving average before quickly reclaiming it. Immediate support is near its September 2024 high
($45.9; -4%), followed by its 200-DMA ($44.5; -7%). RS line is trending downward, with a good RS Rating of 81. However, Acc/Dist
Rating turned negative and Up/Down Volume ratio declined below 1, indicating weak demand for the stocks in the sector.

Select Ideas from a Financial Conference

Attached is a note from Shailendra Bhogaraju, Senior Equity Research Analyst, and Kunal Gupta, Equity Research Analyst, previewing select companies presenting at a financial conference next week.

  • Financial is the leading sector this year, with the XLF up 34% year-to-date. It is trading 2% off highs and testing support near its 21-DMA ($49.9; -1%). The next level of support is near the 50-DMA, coinciding with October highs of $47.8 (-5%).
  • Included are annotated datagraphs for the stocks that have broken out, including
    • U.S. Focus List stock Tradeweb (TW).
    • US Bancorp (USB).
    • Truist Financial (TFC).
    • Berkley WR (WRB).
    • The Carlyle Group (CG).

O’Neil Financial Sector Weekly

XLF gained 210bps in the last five days and continues to trade at its all-time high. It is consolidating above its short-term
moving averages after gapping up on U.S. election results. Immediate support is at its 10-DMA ($50.0; -1%), followed by its
21-DMA ($49.1; -4%). The RS line is trending upward. Strong improvement in Acc/Dist Rating indicates good accumulation.

O’Neil Financial Sector Weekly

XLF gained 20bps in the last five sessions and is trading at its all-time high. It is consolidating constructively above its short-term
moving averages after gapping up on U.S. election results. Immediate support is at its 10-DMA ($49.3; -1%), followed by its 21-DMA
($48.3; -3%). RS line is trending upward. Strong improvement in Acc/Dist Rating indicates good accumulation.