Market View

The U.S. market is in a Downtrend. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq gapped down to year-to-date lows this week in heavy volume killing the fourth follow-through day (FTD) this year. The seven bear markets since 1971 had a median of six failed FTDs. The next level of support on the S&P 500 is ~3,549, while support on the Nasdaq is ~10,519 before ~10,200. Near-term resistance remains the falling 10-DMA (S&P 500: 3,839; Nasdaq: 11,200).

Won Global View

The U.S. market has been downgraded to a Downtrend. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at new year-to-date lows after gapping down and undercutting May lows (S&P 500: 3,810; Nasdaq: 11,035). Indices remain vulnerable and likely to chop around with weak support at 3,662 on the S&P 500 and 10,519 on the Nasdaq.