Market View

The U.S. market continues to chop around with high volatility. Leadership ideas are forming new bases, with the majority trading below resistance at their respective 10-week or even 40-week moving averages. This justifies a defensive approach that avoids any new buys at the moment. The indices remain above last Wednesday’s low, so we are monitoring for new leadership ideas to emerge, especially ones that did not participate in the prior uptrend. A new follow-through day, combined with multiple actionable ideas, would give us confidence that this correction is over. Now we are on Day 8 of a Rally Attempt, with no actionable ideas.

Global Focus Developed Long

The Australia ASX All Ordinaries Index lost 4.0% this week. The
index finished at its lowest weekly closing level since August 2013, failing
to build on gains during the latter part of the prior week. It is 15% off
52-week highs, well below its 40-week moving average.

European Markets Lead Through January, U.K. Housing Stocks Strengthen

Twenty-three developed markets were down about 0.5%, generally consolidating after posting over 4%
average gains last week. Fourteen markets fell, and seven fell by at least 1%, including The U.S., Hong
Kong and Canada. Weekly leaders included Switzerland, Sweden, Denmark, and Australia, which each
gained over 1.5%. Germany, France, and the U.K. were either up slightly or down slightly.